Match Info

National League South - Round 3

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Truro Sports Hub (Truro)


	Truro City		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.70	4.20
	1.62	3.8	4.4
	1.73	3.83	4.57
	1.72	3.79	4.49	Watch
	1.69	3.75	4.5
	1.73	3.73	4.49
	1.64	3.85	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.78)	3.78 ↑ (3.45)	4.44 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
54.8%

Draw
24.4%

Salisbury
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

25.9%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Truro City - Salisbury Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Truro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Truro City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Hedges J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Truro won 4.

Truro is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Salisbury has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Truro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Truro is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Truro won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 1.7:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Truro won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Truro: 6.51% Salisbury: 4.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Salisbury	10	5	3	2	18:7	11	18
4	Truro	10	5	3	2	15:7	8	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League South
12.09.26	Truro City - Walton & Hersham	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Truro City - Chesham United	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Dorking Wanderers - Truro City	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Truro City - Dagenham & Redbridge	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Tonbridge Angels - Truro City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLWW
- Salisbury FC
English National League South
12.09.26	Ebbsfleet United - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
08.09.26	Salisbury - Slough Town	5:1 ✺
05.09.26	Chelmsford City - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Salisbury - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Maidstone United - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.03.25	Truro City - Salisbury	1:0
20.08.24	Salisbury - Truro City	1:1
English Southern League South Division
19.04.23	Truro City - Salisbury	4:0
25.10.22	Salisbury - Truro City	0:3
English FA Trophy
09.10.22	Truro City - Salisbury	1:0
English Southern League South Division
15.03.22	Truro City - Salisbury	1:3
17.08.21	Salisbury - Truro City	1:3

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