Match Info

National League South - Round 46

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.25	5.5
	1.48	4.41	5.3
	1.49	4.64	5.45	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.55	4.29	5.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.61)	4.32 ↑ (4.08)	5.4 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
61.5%

Draw
21.4%

Salisbury
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

22.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

21.7%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Hemel Hempstead Town - Salisbury Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, White J. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Odokonyero N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Hemel Hempstead is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Hemel Hempstead won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Salisbury: 4.6% Hemel Hempstead: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Salisbury	10	5	3	2	18:7	11	18
12	Hemel Hempstead	10	3	4	3	10:10	0	13

Last Results with these Odds

Salisbury - the odds 4.47 are the expected chance of winning is 20.54%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
18.04.26	Torquay United - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Eastbourne Borough	3:1 ✺
06.04.26	Enfield Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chesham United	0:3 ✺
31.03.26	Weston-super-Mare - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTLT
- Salisbury FC
English National League South
18.04.26	Salisbury - Horsham	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Tonbridge Angels - Salisbury	3:2 ✺
06.04.26	Salisbury - Weston-super-Mare	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Totton - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Salisbury - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
06.12.25	Salisbury - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0
30.11.24	Salisbury - Hemel Hempstead Town	5:0
10.08.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Salisbury	2:2

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