Match Info

National League South - Round 45

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Salisbury		Horsham

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.45	2.88
	2.27	3.52	2.95
	2.23	3.62	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.9
	2.21	3.34	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.04)	3.44 ↓ (3.7)	2.9 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Salisbury
41.3%

Draw
26.9%

Horsham
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

25.1%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

23.9%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Salisbury - Horsham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Morgan O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90', 1 - 1, Hedges H. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Odokonyero N. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 15).

Recent performances by Salisbury have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Horsham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Horsham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Salisbury won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Salisbury	11	6	3	2	20:8	12	21
17	Horsham FC	10	2	5	3	10:12	-2	11

Last Results with these Odds

Salisbury - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.48%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English National League South
11.04.26	Tonbridge Angels - Salisbury	3:2 ✺
06.04.26	Salisbury - Weston-super-Mare	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Totton - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Salisbury - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Salisbury - Enfield Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW
- Horsham FC
English National League South
14.04.26	Weston-super-Mare - Horsham	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Horsham - Maidstone United	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Farnborough - Horsham	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Horsham - Dorking Wanderers	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Torquay United - Horsham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
30.08.25	Horsham - Salisbury	1:1

Salisbury - Horsham: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide