Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 31

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	Salisbury		Poole Town

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	2.9
	2	3.75	3
	2.02	3.89	3.02
	2.02	3.65	3.05
	2	3.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.99)	3.76 ↑ (3.68)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
45.5%

Draw
24.2%

Poole Town
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

24.8%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

23.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salisbury won 2.

Recent matches Salisbury is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Poole is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Poole could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Poole have a series of home games.

Salisbury will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Salisbury won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Salisbury won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English Southern League South Division
03.02.24	Bracknell Town - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
30.01.24	Poole Town - Salisbury	4:5 ✺
27.01.24	Salisbury - Sholing	3:0 ✺
20.01.24	Beaconsfield Town - Salisbury	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	Salisbury - Totton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWTL
- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
06.02.24	Poole Town - Hayes & Yeading United	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Poole Town - Hanwell Town	0:3 ✺
30.01.24	Poole Town - Salisbury	4:5 ✺
27.01.24	Tiverton Town - Poole Town	4:2 ✺
23.01.24	Poole Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
30.01.24	Poole Town - Salisbury	4:5
02.01.23	Salisbury - Poole Town	1:3
29.08.22	Poole Town - Salisbury	1:2
18.12.21	Poole Town - Salisbury	2:2
28.09.21	Salisbury - Poole Town	1:1
10.10.20	Salisbury - Poole Town	2:2
21.12.19	Salisbury - Poole Town	2:1

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