Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 29

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	Salisbury		Sholing

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	3.8
	1.72	3.75	4
	1.78	3.94	3.81
	1.72	3.7	4.1
	1.72	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.54)	3.77 ↓ (4.1)	3.94 ↓ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
52.7%

Draw
24.2%

Sholing
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

22.3%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

21.8%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salisbury's form might have worsened.

Sholing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salisbury, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sholing than the current prediction. (-5%)

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: ) and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Salisbury could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Salisbury is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Salisbury won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English Southern League South Division
20.01.24	Beaconsfield Town - Salisbury	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	Salisbury - Totton	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Salisbury - Tiverton Town	4:2 ✺
30.12.23	Basingstoke Town - Salisbury	0:0 ✺
26.12.23	Salisbury - Winchester City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLWTT
- Sholing
English Southern League South Division
13.01.24	Sholing - Winchester City	5:1 ✺
06.01.24	Totton - Sholing	1:3 ✺
01.01.24	Sholing - Bracknell Town	0:0 ✺
26.12.23	Gosport Borough - Sholing	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	Sholing - Merthyr Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
26.09.23	Sholing - Salisbury	2:1

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