Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 22

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Salisbury		Hendon

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.7	3.4
	1.92	3.98	3.24
	1.93	3.98	3.24
	1.85	3.7	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.06)	3.84 ↑ (3.6)	3.33 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
48.8%

Draw
23.8%

Hendon
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

25.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

25.9%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Hendon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Salisbury - Hendon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salisbury won 2.

Recent matches Salisbury is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hendon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Salisbury could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Salisbury will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Salisbury won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Salisbury won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English Southern League South Division
09.12.23	Walton & Hersham - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Merthyr Town - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Salisbury - Dorchester Town	3:2 ✺
18.11.23	Hanwell Town - Salisbury	2:3 ✺
11.11.23	Salisbury - Hayes & Yeading United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWW
- Hendon
English Southern League South Division
12.12.23	Hendon - Didcot Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Hendon - Weymouth	2:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
02.12.23	Hendon - Swindon Supermarine	2:3 ✺
25.11.23	Winchester City - Hendon	0:2 ✺
21.11.23	Walton & Hersham - Hendon	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
19.08.23	Hendon - Salisbury	0:0
07.04.23	Hendon - Salisbury	1:4
03.12.22	Salisbury - Hendon	3:3
26.02.22	Hendon - Salisbury	2:3
06.11.21	Salisbury - Hendon	0:2
19.09.20	Salisbury - Hendon	1:1
22.02.20	Salisbury - Hendon	2:0

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