Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 25

Date: 30 December 2023, Saturday


	Basingstoke Town		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.7	1.95
	3	3.75	2	Watch
	2.99	4.09	2
	2.99	4.1	2
	3	3.75	1.95
	2.99	3.78	1.99
	3	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.08)	3.85 ↑ (3.72)	1.98 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basingstoke Town
30.5%

Draw
23.7%

Salisbury
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

24.4%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

23.8%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-1%)

Basingstoke Town - Salisbury Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: )).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Salisbury will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Basingstoke won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Basingstoke won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
26.12.23	Totton - Basingstoke Town	2:2 ✺
23.12.23	Basingstoke Town - Didcot Town	2:4 ✺
16.12.23	Harrow Borough - Basingstoke Town	4:2 ✺
09.12.23	Basingstoke Town - Beaconsfield Town	1:1 ✺
05.12.23	Basingstoke Town - Hungerford Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLLTT
- Salisbury FC
English Southern League South Division
26.12.23	Salisbury - Winchester City	2:2 ✺
23.12.23	Hungerford Town - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Salisbury - Hendon	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Walton & Hersham - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Merthyr Town - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
23.02.19	Salisbury - Basingstoke Town	2:1
05.02.19	Basingstoke Town - Salisbury	0:2
English National League South
27.04.13	Basingstoke Town - Salisbury	0:4
05.03.13	Salisbury - Basingstoke Town	0:2
14.02.12	Basingstoke Town - Salisbury	N/A

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