Match Info

Ykkonen - Championship Group

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Keskuskentta (Rovaniemi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	RoPS		Salon Palloilijat

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.90	2.88
	1.98	3.70	2.87
	2.00	3.70	2.88
	2.11	4.09	3.01
	2.25	3.88	2.6	Watch
	2.02	4.00	2.95
	2.04	4.07	3.01
	1.97	3.80	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.86)	3.89 ↑ (3.8)	2.88 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RoPS
44.8%

Draw
23.5%

Salon Palloilijat
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

23.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

24.7%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RoPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Salon Palloilijat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RoPS than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RoPS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salon Palloilijat than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

RoPS - Salon Palloilijat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Berry D. (G) 14. Cato R. 23. Heiserholt F. (C) 8. Isometsa K. 4. Koistinen J. 35. Mantymaki V. 77. McLeod S. 10. Mekki A. 34. Nijgh B. 9. Suutari O. 11. Varhi T.	12. Rintamaki O. (G) 20. Jakonen O. 19. Jokiniemi N. 22. Kadowaki S. 18. Kauko J. 13. Kostian J. 9. Lulli M. 3. Meura J. (C) 6. Ndakala J. 7. Rrustemi E. 17. Yao K.
Substitutes
28. Katermaa V. 1. Korhonen T. (G) 13. Listo T. 2. Oinas A. 20. Roiha S. 22. Savolainen A.	4. Dementjeff T. 8. Jakonen O. 1. Koski J. (G) 5. Pan L. 11. Rrustemi E. 23. Ruponen R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
21', Yao K. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Varhi T. ⚽,
24', Heiserholt F. 🟨,
39', Kauko J. ↓, Jakonen O. ↑,
40', 2 - 0, Varhi T. ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 0, Heiserholt F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 3 - 1, Jakonen O. ⚽,
62', Mantymaki V. 🟨,
68', 🟨,
68', Varhi T. ↓, Savolainen A. ↑,
69', Kostian J. ↓, Rrustemi E. ↑,
69', Lulli M. ↓, Pan L. ↑,
74', Nijgh B. 🟨,
78', Ndakala J. 🟨,
78', Yao K. ↓, Dementjeff T. ↑,
78', Jokiniemi N. ↓, Ruponen R. ↑,
80', McLeod S. ↓, Oinas A. ↑,
90+2', Isometsa K. ↓, Listo T. ↑,

Preview

In recent outings, RoPS has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

SalPa is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, SalPa has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, RoPS has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for RoPS against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rovaniemi	25	12	8	5	52:37	15	44
3	SalPa	25	12	6	7	52:45	7	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RoPS
Finnish Ykkonen
19.09.26	Keski-Uusimaa - RoPS	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	RoPS - OLS	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	RoPS - VJS Vantaa	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Tampere United - RoPS	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	OLS - RoPS	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWLT
- Salon Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkonen
19.09.26	Salon Palloilijat - Tampere United	6:4 ✺
12.09.26	Salon Palloilijat - JJK Jyväskylä	4:3 ✺
29.08.26	KuPS Akatemia - Salon Palloilijat	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Salon Palloilijat - OLS	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Salon Palloilijat - Jazz Pori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
27.06.26	RoPS - Salon Palloilijat	2:2
04.04.26	Salon Palloilijat - RoPS	1:1

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