Match Info

Date: 17 February 2021, Wednesday


	Sambenedettese		Imolese

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.8
	1.87	3.2	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.05	3.6
	1.98	2.95	3.7
	2.05	3.28	3.96
	1.91	3.3	3.9
	1.95	3.34	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.71)	3.2 ↓ (3.45)	3.78 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
47.1%

Draw
28.6%

Imolese
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

26.4%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

16.1%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sambenedettese's form might have worsened.

Imolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sambenedettese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Imolese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sambenedettese - Imolese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Recent matches Sambenedettese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Imolese is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sambenedettese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sambenedettese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sambenedettese won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sambenedettese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
14.02.21	Mantova - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
07.02.21	Sambenedettese - Fano	2:2 ✺
03.02.21	Fermana - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
30.01.21	Gubbio - Sambenedettese	1:2 ✺
24.01.21	Sambenedettese - Carpi	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLWW
- Imolese Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
07.02.21	Carpi - Imolese	0:3 ✺
03.02.21	Imolese - FeralpiSalò	3:0 ✺
30.01.21	Virtus Verona - Imolese	3:1 ✺
23.01.21	Imolese - Padova	1:1 ✺
16.01.21	Imolese - Matelica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
21.10.20	Imolese - Sambenedettese	1:1
01.12.19	Imolese - Sambenedettese	1:1
Coppa Italia
04.08.19	Imolese - Sambenedettese	4:3 penalties
Italian Serie C Group B
12.02.19	Imolese - Sambenedettese	0:0
17.10.18	Sambenedettese - Imolese	2:1

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