Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Sambenedettese		Latina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.80
	2.46	3.08	2.81	Watch
	2.36	3.00	2.74
	2.44	3.00	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.46)	3.01 ↓ (3.08)	2.79 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
37.3%

Draw
30.1%

Latina
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28.6%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Latina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latina than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Sambenedettese - Latina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 19th in the Serie C - Play Out and 17th in the Serie C - Play Out).

Sambenedettese is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Latina have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Latina may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Latina	7	1	3	3	6:9	-3	6
19	Sambenedettese	8	1	2	5	11:14	-3	5

Last Results with these Odds

Sambenedettese - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.4%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Latina - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.74%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
03.10.26	Grosseto - Sambenedettese	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Sambenedettese - Campobasso	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Pianese - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Sambenedettese - Atalanta U23	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Pineto - Sambenedettese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTLL
- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
04.10.26	Latina - Ostia Mare	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Reggiana - Latina	1:0 ✺
16.09.26	Latina - Guidonia Montecelio	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Gubbio - Latina	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
09.09.26	Grosseto - Latina	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLTLW

Sambenedettese - Latina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide