Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme (San Benedetto del Tronto) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Colaninno F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Sambenedettese		Latina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.50	2.95	2.60
	2.60	2.85	2.55
	2.72	3.09	2.79
	2.65	3.15	2.55	Watch
	2.65	3.05	2.65
	2.66	3.14	2.66	Watch
	2.55	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.46)	3.04 ↓ (3.08)	2.64 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
35%

Draw
30.2%

Latina
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28.6%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Latina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latina than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Sambenedettese - Latina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 21. Perrotta F. 5. Chelli M. 17. Pezzola L. 30. Nicoli S. 37. Toure M. 6. Piccoli M. 14. Plicco E. 8. Tunjov G. 9. Sgarbi L. (C) 93. Magnaghi S.	67. Mastrantonio D. (G) 13. Marenco F. (C) 5. Bruscagin M. 6. Calabrese B. 2. Ercolano E. 4. De Cristofaro A. 30. De Ciancio R. 27. D'Angelo Sonny 70. Tomaselli G. 7. Baez J. 28. Plescia V.
Substitutes
38. Buljan L. 18. Candellori K. 20. Carinelli M. 1. Cultraro G. (G) 23. De Angelis E. 7. Faggioli A. 90. Kosijer S. 28. Machin J. 10. Marranzino P. 11. Stabile D. P. 4. Zini A.	1. Basti M. (G) 8. Castorri G. 77. Cioffi A. 66. De Marchi D. 19. Di Giovannantonio G. 14. Gagliano L. 45. Keita C. 36. Lipani J. 32. Parodi G. 3. Porro M. 96. Sbaccanti C. (G) 16. Sussi C. 9. Sylla Y.
Coaches
D'Alesio F.	Volpe G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, De Cristofaro A. ⚽,
38', D'Angelo Sonny 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Magnaghi S. ↓, Marranzino P. ↑,
54', Plicco E. ↓, Candellori K. ↑,
60', Perrotta F. ↓, Zini A. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Zini A. ⚽, Sgarbi L. (A),
74', Tomaselli G. ↓, Cioffi A. ↑,
74', De Ciancio R. ↓, Castorri G. ↑,
77', Tunjov G. ↓, Stabile D. P. ↑,
84', Calabrese B. ↓, Parodi G. ↑,
90+4', Baez J. ↓, Porro M. ↑,
90+5', Plescia V. ↓, Gagliano L. ↑,
90+6', Nicoli S. 🟨,
90+6', Gagliano L. 🟨,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 19th in the Serie C - Play Out and 18th in the Serie C - Play Out).

Recent results have been tough for Sambenedettese (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Latina have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sambenedettese could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Latina	11	3	5	3	11:11	0	14
16	Sambenedettese	11	2	4	5	16:18	-2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Sambenedettese - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.4%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Latina - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.74%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
03.10.26	Grosseto - Sambenedettese	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Sambenedettese - Campobasso	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Pianese - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Sambenedettese - Atalanta U23	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Pineto - Sambenedettese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTLL
- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
04.10.26	Latina - Ostia Mare	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Reggiana - Latina	1:0 ✺
16.09.26	Latina - Guidonia Montecelio	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Gubbio - Latina	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
09.09.26	Grosseto - Latina	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLTLW

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