Match Info

Date: 14 February 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Mantova		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	4
	1.95	3.2	3.5
	1.95	3.15	3.5
	1.92	3	3.85
	1.97	3.26	4.29
	2.05	3.1	3.7
	1.93	3.2	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.4)	3.13 ↑ (2.96)	3.83 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mantova
46.9%

Draw
29.2%

Sambenedettese
23.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

30.5%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

22.3%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mantova's performance.

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sambenedettese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-19.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mantova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sambenedettese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Mantova - Sambenedettese Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). Sambenedettese will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mantova: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Mantova is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sambenedettese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mantova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mantova will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mantova won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Mantova won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group B
07.02.21	Perugia - Mantova	4:2 ✺
04.02.21	Mantova - Padova	0:6 ✺
01.02.21	Carpi - Mantova	2:0 ✺
24.01.21	Mantova - Fermana	1:0 ✺
16.01.21	Mantova - Triestina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWT
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
07.02.21	Sambenedettese - Fano	2:2 ✺
03.02.21	Fermana - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
30.01.21	Gubbio - Sambenedettese	1:2 ✺
24.01.21	Sambenedettese - Carpi	5:1 ✺
17.01.21	Sambenedettese - Padova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
18.10.20	Sambenedettese - Mantova	2:0
21.01.17	Mantova - Sambenedettese	1:1
10.09.16	Sambenedettese - Mantova	1:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Modena - Mantova	✺
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
30.10.26	Reggiana - Sambenedettese	✺

Mantova - Sambenedettese