The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mantova 46.9%
Draw 29.2%
Sambenedettese 23.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.7%
30.5%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.6%
22.3%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mantova's performance.
Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sambenedettese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-19.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mantova that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+19.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sambenedettese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
22.2%
22.2%
Mantova - Sambenedettese Predictions
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). Sambenedettese will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mantova: 36.9% – 74.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).
Mantova is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Sambenedettese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Mantova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Mantova will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Mantova won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Mantova won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.