Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 28

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme (San Benedetto del Tronto)


	Sambenedettese		Vastese

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.25	3	3
	2.26	3	2.99
	2.26	3	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.17)	2.99 ↑ (2.95)	3.04 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
40.2%

Draw
30.2%

Vastese
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.7%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Vastese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vastese than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Sambenedettese - Vastese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out)).

Recent matches Sambenedettese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vastese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sambenedettese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sambenedettese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sambenedettese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.03.23	Roma City - Sambenedettese	0:3 ✺
05.03.23	Sambenedettese - Porto DAscoli	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Trastevere - Sambenedettese	3:2 ✺
18.02.23	Sambenedettese - Tolentino	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Pineto - Sambenedettese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTLWT
- Vastese Calcio 1902
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.03.23	Vastese - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Vastese	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Vastese - Matese	2:2 ✺
18.02.23	Fano - Vastese	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Vastese - Termoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
13.11.22	Vastese - Sambenedettese	1:0
30.03.22	Sambenedettese - Vastese	0:0
14.11.21	Vastese - Sambenedettese	1:0

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