Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 27

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Vastese		Vigor Senigallia

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2
	3.42	3.02	2.07
	3.38	3.24	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.36)	3.09 ↓ (3.19)	2.05 (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vastese
26.6%

Draw
29.3%

Vigor Senigallia
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

28.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

28%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vastese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Vastese aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs)).

Vastese is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vigor Senigallia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vigor Senigallia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vastese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vastese Calcio 1902
Italian Serie D - Group F
05.03.23	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Vastese	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Vastese - Matese	2:2 ✺
18.02.23	Fano - Vastese	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Vastese - Termoli	1:1 ✺
08.02.23	Vastese - Porto DAscoli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLTT
- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
05.03.23	Vigor Senigallia - Roma City	2:2 ✺
26.02.23	Porto DAscoli - Vigor Senigallia	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Vigor Senigallia - Trastevere	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Tolentino - Vigor Senigallia	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Vigor Senigallia - Pineto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
06.11.22	Vigor Senigallia - Vastese	1:0

Vastese - Vigor Senigallia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide