Match Info

GEORGIA: Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 33

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: 26 May Stadium (Tsqaltubo)

Referee: Khorava J. (Geo)


	Samgurali Tskhaltubo		Samtredia

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	4.75
	1.51	4.2	5	Watch
	1.54	4.25	5.31
				Watch
	1.44	4.2	5
	1.49	4.15	5.37
	1.51	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.69)	4.2 ↑ (3.6)	5.07 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samgurali Tskhaltubo
60.5%

Draw
21.6%

Samtredia
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

25.1%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

24.3%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samgurali Tskhaltubo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samgurali Tskhaltubo's performance.

Samtredia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samgurali Tskhaltubo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samgurali Tskhaltubo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (+3%)

Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Samtredia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Kalichava N. (G) 23. Karimov M. 3. Abuladze M. 4. Patarkatsishvili O. 22. Kikabidze T. (C) 7. Akhvlediani I. 10. Chikhladze D. 15. Gean Rodrigues 16. Bull 35. Kutalia L. 11. Khorkheli L.	1. Megrelishvili T. (G) 2. Kvaratskhelia L. 18. Khmaladze L. (C) 40. Ubilava D. 15. Kveladze G. 8. Barrios E. 38. Aknazarov M. 39. Andre d. S. R. 9. Amoako J. 10. Mello N. 7. Ardazishvili R.
Substitutes
8. de A. J. 19. Kalandarishvili N. 24. Khorkheli N. 40. Kutaladze L. (G) 29. Manjgaladze N. 2. Markovina B. 9. Sherozia L. 37. Simdyankin N. 17. Verulidze A.	4. Chachua J. 30. Chitaishvili M. 36. Danelia R. 3. Gigashvili Z. 25. Labadze A. (G) 11. Nkoumba E. 24. Odishelidze R.
Coaches
Vanoli R.	Kakashvili V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Kvaratskhelia L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Aknazarov M. 🟨,
66', Mello N. ↓, Nkoumba E. ↑,
66', Ardazishvili R. ↓, Odishelidze R. ↑,
67', Akhvlediani I. 🟨,
75', Andre d. S. R. ↓, Danelia R. ↑,
79', Chikhladze D. 🟨,
83', 1 - 0, Kutalia L. ⚽, Chikhladze D. (A),
89', Kveladze G. ↓, Gigashvili Z. ↑,
89', Aknazarov M. ↓, Chitaishvili M. ↑,
90+6', Khorkheli L. ↓, Kalandarishvili N. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Samgurali won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Samgurali is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Samgurali won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:14 (average 2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Samgurali won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:5 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samgurali Tskhaltubo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
10.11.24	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Gagra	4:2 ✺
01.11.24	Kolkheti Poti - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Batumi	3:3 ✺
20.10.24	Dila Gori - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTTLL
- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
09.11.24	Samtredia - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:1 ✺
01.11.24	Gagra - Samtredia	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Samtredia - Iberia 1999	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Kolkheti Poti - Samtredia	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Samtredia - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
15.09.24	Samtredia - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:2
18.05.24	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Samtredia	4:0
03.04.24	Samtredia - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:0
02.12.23	Samtredia - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:3
28.09.23	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Samtredia	0:3
01.06.23	Samtredia - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	0:2
22.04.23	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Samtredia	2:1

Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Samtredia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide