Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Sammaurese		San Marino Calcio

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.4	1.66
	4.35	3.5	1.68
	7.34	1.21	8.14	Watch
	4.75	3.25	1.67
	4.94	3.48	1.64
	4.5	3.6	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.05 ↑ (2.67)	3.07 ↓ (3.29)	2.74 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sammaurese
22.3%

Draw
36.6%

San Marino Calcio
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

27.4%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

25.4%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sammaurese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sammaurese's form might have worsened.

San Marino Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sammaurese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Marino Calcio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sammaurese - San Marino Calcio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

Sammaurese is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

San Marino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

San Marino might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sammaurese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sammaurese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sammaurese
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.12.25	Atletico Ascoli - Sammaurese	3:2 ✺
07.12.25	Sammaurese - Ancona	0:3 ✺
30.11.25	L Aquila - Sammaurese	4:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sammaurese - Termoli	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Ostia Mare - Sammaurese	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- San Marino Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.12.25	San Marino Calcio - Notaresco	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Teramo - San Marino Calcio	4:1 ✺
30.11.25	San Marino Calcio - Sora	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Fossombrone - San Marino Calcio	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	San Marino Calcio - Maceratese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
13.04.25	Sammaurese - San Marino Calcio	0:1
01.12.24	San Marino Calcio - Sammaurese	0:0

Sammaurese - San Marino Calcio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide