Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Sammaurese		Ancona

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.35	1.98
	3.31	3.61	1.95	Watch
	3.19	3.38	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3.15)	3.45 ↓ (3.52)	1.99 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sammaurese
27.9%

Draw
26.3%

Ancona
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

26%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

25.4%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sammaurese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Sammaurese - Ancona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Rovinelli E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 2, Proromo T. ⚽,
56', 0 - 3, Kouko D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).

Sammaurese is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ancona's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sammaurese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ancona might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sammaurese
Italian Serie D - Group F
30.11.25	L Aquila - Sammaurese	4:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sammaurese - Termoli	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Ostia Mare - Sammaurese	7:0 ✺
09.11.25	Sammaurese - Notaresco	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Sammaurese - Fossombrone	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- US Ancona 1905
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.12.25	UniPomezia - Ancona	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
30.11.25	Ancona - Fossombrone	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Teramo - Ancona	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Ancona - Valmontone	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
16.11.25	Ancona - Vigor Senigallia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWT

Sammaurese - Ancona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide