Match Info
Serie D - Group F - Round 16Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Atletico Ascoli |
|
Sammaurese |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.09 |
6.9 |
19.5 |
|
 |
1.14 |
6.51 |
13.74 |
|
 |
1.11 |
6.39 |
20 |
 Watch |
 |
1.14 |
6 |
19 |
|
 |
1.2 |
5.78 |
15.8 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.14 ↓
(2.25) |
6.32 ↑
(3.45) |
17.61 ↑
(2.62) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atletico Ascoli
80.4% | Draw
14.5% | Sammaurese
5.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atletico Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+40.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atletico Ascoli's performance.Sammaurese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sammaurese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (-38.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atletico Ascoli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (+27.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sammaurese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Atletico Ascoli - Sammaurese Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 - Atletico Ascoli (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1, 1st Half - Atletico Ascoli (2.09) (votes: 3 - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Atletico Ascoli (votes: 4 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Sardo M. ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 0, Sardo M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 74', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 86', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+5', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).Atletico Ascoli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Sammaurese has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0). In this match, Atletico Ascoli is the undisputed favorite. Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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