Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	San Marino Calcio		Maceratese

	1	X	2
	2.29	3.11	2.86
	2.43	3.02	2.90	Watch
	2.2	3.16	3.03
	1.79	3.55	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.79)	3.21 ↓ (3.55)	3.09 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marino Calcio
41.9%

Draw
28.5%

Maceratese
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marino Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marino Calcio's form might have worsened.

Maceratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marino Calcio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maceratese than the current prediction. (-5%)

San Marino Calcio - Maceratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Shiba C. ⚽,
80', 1 - 1, Ciattaglia D. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, Brighi G. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, San Marino is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Marino Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
09.11.25	Vigor Senigallia - San Marino Calcio	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	San Marino Calcio - Chieti	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Giulianova - San Marino Calcio	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	San Marino Calcio - Castelfidardo	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	UniPomezia - San Marino Calcio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTWT
- SS Maceratese
Italian Serie D - Group F
09.11.25	Maceratese - Atletico Ascoli	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Termoli - Maceratese	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Maceratese - Ancona	1:5 ✺
19.10.25	Notaresco - Maceratese	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Maceratese - L Aquila	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTLLW

San Marino Calcio - Maceratese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide