Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 5

Date: 22 February 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Sampaio Corrêa		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.25	3.8
	1.85	2.9	4.5
	2.05	2.84	4.34
	1.95	2.9	3.9
	1.84	2.99	4.8	Watch
	1.97	3.2	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.35)	3.01 ↑ (2.6)	4.15 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
47.5%

Draw
30.4%

CS Alagoano
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

34.8%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

34.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sampaio Corrêa's performance.

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sampaio Corrêa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Sampaio Corrêa - CS Alagoano Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). CSA will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampaio Corrêa: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs) and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sampaio Corrêa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sampaio Corrêa have a series of guest games.

Recently CSA have a series of home games.

In this match Sampaio Corrêa is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
18.02.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
15.02.23	ABC - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
12.02.23	Moto Club de São Luís - Sampaio Corrêa	0:3 ✺
08.02.23	Cordino - Sampaio Corrêa	1:4 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.23	Ceará - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWL
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
17.02.23	Fortaleza - CS Alagoano	3:0 ✺
14.02.23	CS Alagoano - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
11.02.23	CS Alagoano - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.23	CS Alagoano - Vitória Salvador	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
02.02.23	CS Alagoano - Aliança Pilarense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
07.10.22	CS Alagoano - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0
27.06.22	Sampaio Corrêa - CS Alagoano	2:0
28.08.21	Sampaio Corrêa - CS Alagoano	2:0
05.06.21	CS Alagoano - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
10.04.21	Sampaio Corrêa - CS Alagoano	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
02.01.21	CS Alagoano - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1
03.10.20	Sampaio Corrêa - CS Alagoano	1:0

Sampaio Corrêa - CS Alagoano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide