Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 7

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Remo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.23	3.04	3.49
	2.23	3.04	3.49
	2.05	3	3.2
	2.38	2.97	3.21	Watch
	2.18	2.95	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.91)	3 ↓ (3.25)	3.31 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
41.8%

Draw
30.5%

Remo
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

28.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

27.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampaio Corrêa's form might have worsened.

Remo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampaio Corrêa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Remo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Sampaio Corrêa - Remo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe (G) 9. Brunao 6. Bruno Cortez 8. Ferreira (C) 4. Itambe 20. Jhonata Varela 23. Lucas Lopes 19. Mauricio Maranhao 13. Onwudiwe F. 11. Pimentinha 17. Thiaguinho	88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 21. Batista D. 4. Bruno Bispo 7. Giovanni Pavani 22. Jaderson 5. Joao Afonso 40. Ligger (C) 97. Marco Antonio 16. Paulinho Curua 12. Raimar 19. Ytalo
Substitutes
10. Adauto 12. Alan (G) 2. Betao 14. Breno Almeida 22. Bruno Baio 15. Eloir 5. Escuro 3. Fabio Aguiar 21. Gazao 18. Joao Felipe 7. Marcelinho 16. Thiago Rosa	31. Adsson 98. Felipinho 47. Guilherme Cachoeira 30. Guty 56. Henrique Vigia 14. Jonilson 32. Leo Lang (G) 99. Matheus Lucas 9. Ribamar 23. Vidal
Coaches
Ze Augusto	Morinigo G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', Itambe 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Raimar ⚽,
17', Brunao ↓, Joao Felipe ↑,
38', Batista D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Thiaguinho ↓, Breno Almeida ↑,
46', Jhonata Varela ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Jaderson ⚽, Marco Antonio (A),
58', 1 - 2, Joao Felipe ⚽,
62', Batista D. ↓, Vidal ↑,
63', Ytalo 🟨,
63', Ytalo ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
63', Jaderson ↓, Ribamar ↑,
70', Marco Antonio ↓, Adsson ↑,
72', Ribamar 🟨,
72', Adsson 🟨,
76', Bruno Cortez ↓, Thiago Rosa ↑,
76', Giovanni Pavani ↓, Felipinho ↑,
79', Marcelo Rangel 🟨,
79', Paulinho Curua 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 14).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Remo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
29.05.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Maranhão	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
25.05.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.05.24	Fluminense - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
18.05.24	CS Alagoano - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
11.05.24	Tombense - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLTL
- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Serie C
25.05.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Remo	4:1 ✺
19.05.24	Remo - Tombense	0:0 ✺
12.05.24	Remo - Floresta	1:0 ✺
05.05.24	Botafogo PB - Remo	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Athletic Club - Remo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
30.09.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Remo	1:1
29.06.21	Remo - Sampaio Corrêa	0:2
Brazilian Serie C
02.09.17	Remo - Sampaio Corrêa	1:2
03.07.17	Sampaio Corrêa - Remo	1:1

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