Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 6

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Botafogo PB

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	2.87	3.1
	2.3	2.95	3.1
	2.42	2.95	3.36
	2.43	2.82	3.36
	2.15	2.9	3.1
	2.26	2.88	3.27	Watch
	2.27	2.85	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.39)	2.89 ↓ (2.9)	3.21 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
39.9%

Draw
31.6%

Botafogo PB
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

30.8%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

33.3%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Sampaio Corrêa - Botafogo PB Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe (G) 10. Adauto 9. Brunao 6. Bruno Cortez (C) 8. Escuro 4. Itambe 20. Jhonata Varela 18. Joao Felipe 13. Onwudiwe F. 2. Rafael Luiz 7. Thiaguinho	1. Dalton (G) 10. Bruno Leite 3. Douglas 11. Dudu 8. Edmundo 32. Evandro 15. Gama 2. Lenon (C) 9. Pipico 20. Thallyson 4. Wendel Lomar
Substitutes
32. Alan (G) 22. Breno Almeida 19. Bruno Baio 17. Claudio Cebolinha 15. Eloir 3. Fabio Aguiar 23. Lucas Lopes 21. Marcelinho 14. Nadson Mesquita 5. Pablo Oliveira 11. Pimentinha 16. Thiago Rosa	17. Gabriel Lima 25. Gustavo Poffo 29. Jo 19. Joaozinho 33. Lucas Balardin 5. Lucas Goncalves 6. Rafael Furlan 12. Wallace (G) 16. Warley
Coaches
Ze Augusto	Evaristo Piza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Rafael Luiz ↓, Lucas Lopes ↑,
25', Bruno Leite 🟨,
40', Bruno Leite 🟨,
43', Thallyson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dudu ↓, Rafael Furlan ↑,
46', Joao Felipe ↓, Pimentinha ↑,
46', Jhonata Varela ↓, Claudio Cebolinha ↑,
61', Thallyson ↓, Gustavo Poffo ↑,
61', Pipico ↓, Jo ↑,
61', Adauto ↓, Eloir ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Wendel Lomar ⚽,
72', Thiaguinho ↓, Bruno Baio ↑,
73', Gama ↓, Lucas Goncalves ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 1.

Sampaio Corrêa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Botafogo PB is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Botafogo PB could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sampaio Corrêa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Copa do Brasil
22.05.24	Fluminense - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
18.05.24	CS Alagoano - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
11.05.24	Tombense - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
27.04.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLLT
- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
12.05.24	Volta Redonda - Botafogo PB	1:3 ✺
05.05.24	Botafogo PB - Remo	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Botafogo PB - Caxias	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Floresta - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
13.04.24	Botafogo PB - Sousa	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
19.03.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Botafogo PB	0:2
13.03.21	Botafogo PB - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1
Brazilian Serie C
06.07.19	Botafogo PB - Sampaio Corrêa	1:2
04.05.19	Sampaio Corrêa - Botafogo PB	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
24.03.19	Botafogo PB - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
09.09.17	Sampaio Corrêa - Botafogo PB	2:3
09.07.17	Botafogo PB - Sampaio Corrêa	1:2

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