Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.6
	2.1	3	3.25
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2.15	3.05	3.6
	2.15	3.04	3.6
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	2.16	3.2	3.45
	2.13	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.69)	3.08 ↓ (3.48)	3.47 ↓ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
43.5%

Draw
29.9%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

26.3%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

27%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampaio Corrêa's form might have worsened.

Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferroviário Fortaleza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampaio Corrêa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferroviário Fortaleza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Sampaio Corrêa - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ferroviário will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Sampaio Corrêa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferroviário is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferroviário could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sampaio Corrêa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
04.03.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Tuntum	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.02.24	Humaitá - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
22.02.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Pinheiro	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Cordino - Sampaio Corrêa	2:5 ✺
07.02.24	Imperatriz de Desportos - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTTWL
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
09.03.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ceará	2:3 ✺
02.03.24	Iguatu - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.02.24	Maranhão - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
24.02.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Iguatu	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maracanã	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
25.07.19	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1
26.05.19	Sampaio Corrêa - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:1

Sampaio Corrêa - Ferroviário Fortaleza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide