Match Info

Maranhense - Round 11

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Tuntum

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	5
	1.39	4	7.8
	1.33	4.12	8.75
	1.37	4.12	8.75
	1.31	4.33	9.5
	1.39	4	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.62)	4 ↑ (3.5)	7.93 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
65.5%

Draw
22.9%

Tuntum
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

25%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sampaio Corrêa's performance.

Tuntum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tuntum might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sampaio Corrêa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuntum than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tuntum could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sampaio Corrêa - Tuntum Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Jair ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 🟥,
89', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Maranhense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Relegation ~ Maranhense 2).

The competitors look crappy now.

Tuntum could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tuntum have a series of guest games.

In this match Sampaio Corrêa is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
05.04.25	Moto Club de São Luís - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Sampaio Corrêa - IAPE	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
19.03.25	Confiança - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
15.03.25	Maranhão - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Imperatriz de Desportos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TWLLL
- Tuntum EC
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
12.04.25	Moto Club de São Luís - Tuntum	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Tuntum - Maranhão	1:0 ✺
21.03.25	Maranhão - Tuntum	1:0 ✺
18.03.25	IAPE - Tuntum	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Imperatriz de Desportos - Tuntum	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
04.03.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Tuntum	2:0
21.01.24	Tuntum - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1
30.03.22	Tuntum - Sampaio Corrêa	3:3

Sampaio Corrêa - Tuntum: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide