Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 3

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Lourival Gomes (Saquarema)


	Sampaio Corrêa FE		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.67
	1.98	3.25	3.66	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.45
	2.49	3.15	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (3.23)	3.21 ↑ (3.15)	2.83 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa FE
38.7%

Draw
28.7%

Volta Redonda
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

28.6%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

28.5%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa FE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sampaio Corrêa FE's performance.

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Volta Redonda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sampaio Corrêa FE that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Volta Redonda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sampaio Corrêa FE - Volta Redonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ze Carlos (G) 11. Cruz Manhaes O. 3. Daniel Nunes 9. Elias (C) 7. Gabriel Agu 6. Guilherme 8. Luan Gama 2. Lucas Carvalho 4. Lucas Marreta 5. Pablo 10. Walber	45. Deivity (C) 18. Caio Silva 20. Fellipinho 22. Juninho Monteiro 30. Juninho Ramos 3. Lucas Adell 23. Lucas Rocha 10. Luciano Naninho 7. Marquinhos 16. Pedro Costa 26. Romarinho
Substitutes
12. Eduardo (G) 21. Ewerton Potiguar 16. Gregory 22. Jean 15. Joao Martini 20. Matheus Campos 17. Natan 18. Nunes G. 19. Paulo Victor 14. Renan Diniz 13. Ryan Andrade 31. Ze Pompeu (G)	13. Alan 29. Caetano 15. Carvalho B. 21. Du Fernandes 25. Franca B. 12. Heitor Silva (G) 28. Joao Valenca 27. Kaua Uba 19. Mariano 31. Yago Oliveira (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 🟨,
4', 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
40', 🟨,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
67', 🟥,
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
71', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
89', 🟥,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sampaio Corrêa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Volta Redonda has had a series of home games.

Volta Redonda will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Volta Redonda - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 43.56%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa FE
Brazilian Serie D
04.04.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - EC Noroeste	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.03.26	São Bernardo - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Juventude	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
08.03.26	Nova Iguaçu - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Portuguesa RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWLL
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie C
05.04.26	Volta Redonda - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
28.03.26	Volta Redonda - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Cianorte - Volta Redonda	1:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
19.03.26	Volta Redonda - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1 penalties ✺
11.03.26	Volta Redonda - América RN	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
16.02.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Volta Redonda	1:3
04.02.24	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Volta Redonda	0:2
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
01.06.22	Volta Redonda - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0

Sampaio Corrêa FE - Volta Redonda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide