Match Info

Serie B - Round 36

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus


	Sampdoria		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2.1	Watch
	2.95	3.3	2.3
	3.4	3.35	2.09	Watch
	3.52	3.44	2.19
	3.36	3.4	2.11	Watch
	3	3.1	2.4
	3.59	3.35	2.08	Watch
	3.4	3.35	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3)	3.32 ↑ (3.21)	2.17 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
28.3%

Draw
28.3%

Cremonese
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

29.2%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

29.2%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Sampdoria - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Cremonese will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sampdoria (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cremonese (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sampdoria (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Cremonese (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Sampdoria (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cremonese (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Cragno A. (G) 25. Ferrari A. 2. Curto M. 26. Altare G. 21. Beruatto P. 4. Vieira R. 28. Yepes G. 80. Benedetti L. 23. Depaoli F. 33. Sibilli G. 19. Niang M.	1. Fulignati A. (G) 26. Antov V. 5. Ravanelli L. 15. Bianchetti M. 4. Barbieri T. 6. Pickel C. 7. Azzi P. 18. Collocolo M. 11. Johnsen D. 27. Vandeputte J. 9. De Luca M.
Substitutes
90. Abiuso F. 15. Akinsanmiro E. 7. Bellemo A. 24. Bereszynski B. 16. Borini F. 77. Chiorra N. (G) 9. Coda M. 22. Ghidotti S. (G) 8. Ricci M. 5. Riccio A. 84. Sekulov N. 18. Venuti L.	90. Bonazzoli F. 19. Castagnetti M. 23. Ceccherini F. 12. Drago G. (G) 55. Folino F. 14. Gelli F. 37. Majer Z. 42. Moretti L. 99. Nasti M. 30. Tannander J. (G) 8. Valoti M. 98. Zanimacchia L.
Coaches
Evani A.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Beruatto P. 🟨,
38', Barbieri T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Depaoli F. ↓, Venuti L. ↑,
46', Ravanelli L. ↓, Ceccherini F. ↑,
46', Barbieri T. ↓, Zanimacchia L. ↑,
59', Niang M. 🟨,
65', Vandeputte J. ↓, Valoti M. ↑,
66', Yepes G. ↓, Ricci M. ↑,
66', Niang M. ↓, Abiuso F. ↑,
70', Collocolo M. ↓, Castagnetti M. ↑,
81', Johnsen D. ↓, Bonazzoli F. ↑,
81', Benedetti L. ↓, Akinsanmiro E. ↑,
87', Sibilli G. ↓, Bellemo A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 1.

Sampdoria has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cremonese is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).

In this match, the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Sampdoria: Bellemo A. (Injury) Ioannou N. (Calf Injury) Perisan S. (Muscle Injury) Romagnoli S. (Injury) Tutino G. (Injury) Veroli D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Cremonese: Nasti M. (Inactive) Saro G. (Knee Injury) Vazquez F. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7 (average 1.5:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams, Sampdoria won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5 (average 2:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Sampdoria - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.26%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
25.04.25	Carrarese - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Sampdoria - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Spezia - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Sampdoria - Frosinone	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Reggiana - Sampdoria	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLT
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
25.04.25	Cremonese - Mantova	4:2 ✺
13.04.25	Cremonese - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Reggiana - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Cremonese - Cittadella	2:2 ✺
14.03.25	Palermo - Cremonese	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.12.24	Cremonese - Sampdoria	1:1
27.02.24	Sampdoria - Cremonese	1:2
03.09.23	Cremonese - Sampdoria	1:1
Italian Serie A
08.04.23	Sampdoria - Cremonese	2:3
24.10.22	Cremonese - Sampdoria	0:1
Club Friendly
26.07.17	Sampdoria - Cremonese	3:0

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