Match Info

Serie B - Round 31

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara)

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Carrarese		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.85	3.2	Watch
	2.5	2.9	3
	2.48	2.88	3.05
	2.51	2.9	3.45
	2.39	3	3.21	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.9
	2.48	2.76	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.43)	2.88 ↓ (3.13)	3.16 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
38.1%

Draw
32.4%

Sampdoria
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.7%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

28.9%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Carrarese - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 37. Calabrese N. 4. Illanes J. 3. Imperiale M. (C) 7. Belloni N. 77. Parlanti G. 17. Zuelli E. 70. Hasa L. 72. Zanon S. 9. Abiuso F. 92. Torregrossa E.	50. Martinelli T. (G) 13. Palma M. 25. Ferrari A. (C) 2. Viti M. 29. Di Pardo A. 33. Conti F. 94. Esposito Sa. 7. Cicconi M. 11. Begic T. 10. Cherubini L. 92. Soleri E.
Substitutes
13. Bouah D. 28. Di Stefano F. 32. Finotto M. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 12. Garofani G. (G) 25. Lordkipanidze D. 8. Melegoni F. 73. Rouhi J. 21. Rubino T. 26. Ruggeri F. 44. Sekulov N. 20. Troise A.	72. Barak A. 99. Brunori M. 34. Casalino T. 9. Coda M. 23. Depaoli F. 1. Ghidotti S. (G) 21. Giordano S. 20. Pafundi S. 77. Pierini N. 30. Ravaglia N. (G) 8. Ricci M. 5. Riccio A.
Coaches
Calabro A.	Lombardo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Palma M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Soleri E. ↓, Coda M. ↑,
57', Begic T. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
62', Torregrossa E. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
62', Belloni N. ↓, Rouhi J. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Hasa L. ⚽, Zanon S. (A),
65', Cherubini L. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
67', Rubino T. 🟨,
67', Esposito Sa. 🟨,
77', Palma M. ↓, Brunori M. ↑,
77', Conti F. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
80', Hasa L. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
80', Abiuso F. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
84', Esposito Sa. 🟨,
88', Parlanti G. ↓, Lordkipanidze D. ↑,
90+2', Pafundi S. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 0, Finotto M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 15).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F. (Inactive) Oliana F. (Yellow Cards) Salamon B. (Inactive) Schiavi N. (Injury)

There will not play in Sampdoria: Abildgaard O. (Inactive) Coda M. (Inactive) Ghidotti S. (Inactive) Henderson L. (Injury) Pierini N. (Injury) Venuti L. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Last Results with these Odds

Carrarese - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.23%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Sampdoria - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.04%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
14.03.26	Juve Stabia - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Carrarese - Palermo	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Carrarese - Catanzaro	3:3 ✺
01.03.26	Mantova - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Carrarese - Monza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTTL
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
14.03.26	Sampdoria - Venezia	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Frosinone - Sampdoria	3:0 ✺
04.03.26	Juve Stabia - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Sampdoria - Bari	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Mantova - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
07.12.25	Sampdoria - Carrarese	3:2
25.04.25	Carrarese - Sampdoria	1:0
26.12.24	Sampdoria - Carrarese	1:1

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