Match Info

Super Lig - Round 9

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	03:00	beIN Connect
Canada	12:00	beIN Connect
France	18:00	beIN Connect
Hong Kong	00:00	beIN Connect
Indonesia	23:00	beIN Connect
Laos	23:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:00	beIN Connect
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
Philippines	00:00	beIN Connect
Singapore	00:00	beIN Connect
Thailand	23:00	beIN Connect
Turkey	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk
Usa	12:00	beIN Connect


	Samsunspor		Amed SK

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.4	2.2	Watch
	2.95	3.40	2.25
	2.95	3.36	2.25	Watch
	3.14	3.47	2.4
	3.05	3.5	2.28	Watch
	3.1	3.45	2.3
	3.18	3.54	2.26	Watch
	2.95	3.45	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.39)	3.45 ↑ (3.38)	2.27 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
31.2%

Draw
27.3%

Amed SK
41.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27.4%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

26%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samsunspor's form might have worsened.

Amed SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amed SK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samsunspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amed SK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Samsunspor - Amed SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Amed will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amed: 73.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Amed (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bayazit B. (G) 16. Erakovic S. 34. Guarino G. 3. Drapinski I. 2. Mendes J. 42. Sekongo A. 4. Watt E. 77. Sousa A. 17. Tomasson L. (C) 10. Coulibaly T. 18. Bayo M.	40. Lafont A. (C) 7. Krasniqi E. 5. Dellova L. 4. Bates D. 17. Meras U. 22. Raveloson R. 8. Soyalp F. 10. Ballet S. 91. Saba D. 74. Khalil M. 99. Orban G.
Substitutes
23. Albak E. 15. Assoumou J. 22. Cift Y. E. 30. Jarju S. 20. Kayan Y. 1. Kocuk O. (G) 19. Ohlenschlaeger O. 8. Onur S. 29. Tan M. 7. Tavsan E.	3. Acer M. 27. Bozan B. (G) 81. Bulbul A. T. 33. Cisse A. 47. Demirtas K. 45. Diagne M. 18. Gul G. 93. Lutin R. 6. Ustundag C. 21. Yesil M.
Coaches
Bjelica N.	Hasi B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Saba D. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Tomasson L. ⚽, Coulibaly T. (A),
36', Sousa A. 🟨,
37', Bayazit B. 🟨,
37', Sousa A. 🟨,
45', Soyalp F. 🟨,
45+1', Cift Y. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Khalil M. ↓, Bulbul A. T. ↑,
46', Soyalp F. ↓, Diagne M. ↑,
48', Dellova L. 🟨,
61', Diagne M. 🟨,
61', Diagne M. 🟨,
71', Drapinski I. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
72', Coulibaly T. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Orban G. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Krasniqi E. ↓, Gul G. ↑,
79', Sekongo A. ↓, Onur S. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Saba D. ⚽, Orban G. (A),
84', Mendes J. ↓, Tan M. ↑,
85', Guarino G. ↓, Jarju S. ↑,
86', Ballet S. ↓, Yesil M. ↑,
89', Saba D. ↓, Acer M. ↑,
89', Tavsan E. 🟨,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 17th in the Relegation - 1. Lig and 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: )).

Samsunspor is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Amed is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Amed is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Samsunspor: Assoumou J. (Muscle Injury) Kaya F. (Inactive) Yuksel C. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Amed: Dellova L. (Muscle Injury) Yildirim M. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Amed: Sor Y. (Muscle Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Amed in today's match, at odds of 2.05.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Samsunspor has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:3 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Samsunspor against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals (averaging 2:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Amedspor	9	6	2	1	20:10	10	20
17	Samsunspor	9	1	1	7	8:21	-13	4

Outrights of Turkish Super League for now

Amedspor: 1.6% Samsunspor: 0.34%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
18.10.26	Kasımpaşa - Samsunspor	4:1 ✺
10.10.26	Samsunspor - Trabzonspor	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Erzurumspor - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Samsunspor - Çorum	1:5 ✺
06.09.26	Kocaelispor - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Amed SK
Turkish Super League
17.10.26	Amed SK - Konyaspor	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Gençlerbirliği - Amed SK	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Amed SK - Beşiktaş	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Amed SK - İstanbul Başakşehir	5:0 ✺
06.09.26	Kasımpaşa - Amed SK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
19.02.20	Samsunspor - Amed SK	3:0
09.10.19	Amed SK - Samsunspor	0:0
20.01.19	Amed SK - Samsunspor	3:2
02.09.18	Samsunspor - Amed SK	1:0

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