Match Info

Super Lig - Round 3

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun)

Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)


	Samsunspor		Kasımpaşa

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.57	4.49
	2.10	3.30	3.51	Watch
	1.79	3.78	4.6	Watch
	1.81	3.6	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.72)	3.59 ↓ (4.01)	4.24 ↓ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
51.4%

Draw
26.3%

Kasımpaşa
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

23.8%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.5%	7.4%	11.1%

Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Samsunspor (1.22) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.5 - Samsunspor (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Kasımpaşa (4.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Samsunspor will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Samsunspor will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Kasımpaşa (votes: 3 - 18.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kocuk O. (G) 37. Satka L. 4. Van Drongelen R. 24. Borevkovic T. 2. Mendes J. 5. Yuksel C. 10. Ntcham O. (C) 17. Tomasson L. 7. Musaba A. 21. Holse C. 9. Marius	1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Winck C. 20. Opoku N. 41. Szalai At. 21. Frimpong G. 16. Baldursson A. F. 6. Ustundag C. 12. Ben Ouanes M. 10. Hajradinovic H. 11. Kol A. 7. Fall M.
Substitutes
16. Bulbul T. (G) 55. Cift Y. E. 28. Gonul S. 29. Makoumbou A. 12. Posiadala A. (G) 48. Toruz E. B. (G) 22. Yaldir P. 18. Yavru Z.	29. Aydin T. 8. Cafu 72. Eratilla Y. 14. Espinoza J. 17. Kanatsizkus K. 5. Mujde A. 47. Muratoglu B. 25. Yanar A. (G) 42. Yigit E. 23. Yilmaz O.
Coaches
Reis T.	Arveladze S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Ntcham O. 🟨,
64', Musaba A. 🟨,
69', Tomasson L. ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
69', Yuksel C. ↓, Makoumbou A. ↑,
74', Kol A. 🟨,
74', Makoumbou A. 🟨,
77', Fall M. ↓, Kanatsizkus K. ↑,
77', Ustundag C. ↓, Cafu ↑,
80', Cafu 🟨,
88', Musaba A. ↓, Bulbul T. ↑,
90+3', Bulbul T. 🟨,
90+3', Kol A. ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,

Preview

Samsunspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In this match, Samsunspor is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Samsunspor: Kilinc E. (Injury)

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Cetinkaya B. (Inactive) Gueye P. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Samsunspor: Yavru Z. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
13.09.25	Samsunspor - Antalyaspor	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Trabzonspor - Samsunspor	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.08.25	Samsunspor - Panathinaikos	0:0 ✺
21.08.25	Panathinaikos - Samsunspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
16.08.25	Kocaelispor - Samsunspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTTLW
- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
13.09.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kasımpaşa	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Kasımpaşa - Gaziantep	2:3 ✺
18.08.25	Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Antalyaspor - Kasımpaşa	2:1 ✺
30.05.25	Kasımpaşa - Göztepe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
29.03.25	Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa	0:2
26.10.24	Kasımpaşa - Samsunspor	1:4
27.04.24	Kasımpaşa - Samsunspor	1:0
09.12.23	Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa	4:2

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