Match Info

Date: 1 November 2020, Sunday


	Samut Prakan City		Sukhothai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.6
	2.04	2.9	3.45
	2	3.25	3.3
	2.07	3.4	3.75
	2.15	3.3	3.1
	2.06	3.18	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.28)	3.16 ↓ (3.4)	3.48 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samut Prakan City
44.5%

Draw
29.1%

Sukhothai
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

26.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

19.1%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samut Prakan City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samut Prakan City's performance.

Sukhothai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sukhothai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samut Prakan City than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samut Prakan City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (+21.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sukhothai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Samut Prakan City - Sukhothai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Samut Prakan City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Samut Prakan City will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Samut Prakan City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Samut Prakan City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samut Prakan City FC
Thai League 1
24.10.20	Samut Prakan City - Suphanburi	1:2 ✺
17.10.20	Pathum United - Samut Prakan City	2:2 ✺
04.10.20	Samut Prakan City - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:2 ✺
27.09.20	Prachuap - Samut Prakan City	0:3 ✺
20.09.20	Muangthong United - Samut Prakan City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTTWT
- Sukhothai FC
Thai League 1
25.10.20	Sukhothai - Pathum United	2:3 ✺
18.10.20	Bangkok United - Sukhothai	4:5 ✺
03.10.20	Sukhothai - Police Tero	1:1 ✺
27.09.20	Nakhon Ratchasima - Sukhothai	3:3 ✺
20.09.20	Trat - Sukhothai	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
21.07.19	Sukhothai - Samut Prakan City	1:2
17.03.19	Samut Prakan City - Sukhothai	0:0

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