Match Info

USL Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Toyota Field (San Antonio, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	San Antonio		Hartford Athletic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.32	2.92	2.98
	2.31	2.95	3.18
	2.35	3.32	2.82	Watch
	2.34	3.3	2.85	Watch
	2.02	3.5	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.02)	3.2 ↓ (3.5)	3 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Antonio
40.5%

Draw
28.8%

Hartford Athletic
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

26%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

26.3%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Antonio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

San Antonio - Hartford Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez R. (G) 23. Buckmaster R. 21. Crognale A. 3. Taintor M. (C) 77. Neville H. 14. Berron L. 18. Soto A. 6. Omar M. 10. Hernandez J. 8. Hernandez D. 17. Agudelo J.	77. Siaha A. (G) 4. Scarlett J. (C) 30. Diz A. 22. Presthus T. 2. Anderson S. 10. Careaga S. 94. Hairston M. 19. Samadia E. 71. Edwards K. 11. Ngalina M. 9. Dieng M.
Substitutes
55. Erofeev D. 22. Gomez S. 9. LaCava J. 94. Medranda J. 13. Namani D. (G) 70. Pacheco D. 5. Souahy A. 45. Urrutia L. 42. Walker L.	7. Beckford D. 44. Dicarlo J. (G) 17. Jimenez J. 8. Moreira J. 5. Njie B. 81. Obalola A. 16. Panayotou J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Hairston M. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Dieng M. ⚽, Ngalina M. (A),
45+1', Berron L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Crognale A. ↓, Souahy A. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Hairston M. ⚽,
69', Hairston M. ↓, Moreira J. ↑,
70', Soto A. ↓, LaCava J. ↑,
70', Hernandez D. ↓, Pacheco D. ↑,
70', Omar M. ↓, Walker L. ↑,
76', Siaha A. 🟨,
77', Samadia E. 🟨,
78', Agudelo J. 🟨,
79', Careaga S. ↓, Njie B. ↑,
84', Neville H. ↓, Medranda J. ↑,
88', Edwards K. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
90', Buckmaster R. 🟨,

Preview

San Antonio has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hartford is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hartford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, San Antonio has had a series of home games.

San Antonio will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 4:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, San Antonio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Antonio FC
USL Championship
16.08.25	San Antonio - Lexington	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Las Vegas Lights - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	San Antonio - Sacramento Republic	1:3 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	San Antonio - New Mexico United	2:3 penalties ✺
USL Championship
12.07.25	San Antonio - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLLW
- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
16.08.25	Hartford Athletic - Tulsa	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic	1:4 ✺
06.08.25	Hartford Athletic - Miami	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United	4:0 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
20.04.24	Hartford Athletic - San Antonio	1:3
29.07.23	San Antonio - Hartford Athletic	5:2

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