Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Trinity Health Stadium (East Hartford, CT)

Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hartford Athletic		Tulsa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.55
	2.38	3.25	2.72
	2.52	3.4	2.83
	2.21	3.44	3.06	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.62
	2.42	3.28	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.51)	3.28 ↓ (3.3)	2.75 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartford Athletic
38.3%

Draw
28.1%

Tulsa
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

28.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27.6%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Hartford Athletic - Tulsa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hartford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tulsa (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hartford (votes: 1 - 50%). Tulsa (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Siaha A. (G) 22. Presthus T. 15. Farrell J. 4. Scarlett J. (C) 2. Anderson S. 6. Makangila B. 17. Jimenez J. 19. Samadia E. 8. Moreira J. 11. Ngalina M. 9. Dieng M.	99. Penaranda J. (G) 4. Pierre D. 91. Cissoko A. (C) 15. Batista L. 2. Damm O. 5. Marcos Serrato 6. Diallo B. 12. Stauffer L. 21. Dalou A. 9. Calheira T. 37. Goldthorp E.
Substitutes
7. Beckford D. 10. Careaga S. 44. Dicarlo J. (G) 71. Edwards K. 5. Njie B. 81. Obalola A. 16. Panayotou J. 23. Presthus O.	19. Amann T. 26. Colli G. 10. Elmedkhar K. 39. Johnson C. (G) 22. Lukic S. 47. St.Clair H. 8. Webber J.
Coaches
Burke B.	Spencer L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Cissoko A. 🟨,
45+4', Pierre D. 🟨,
45+7', 0 - 1, Farrell J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Moreira J. ↓, Careaga S. ↑,
46', Jimenez J. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Edwards K. ⚽, Samadia E. (A),
56', Damm O. 🟨,
59', Goldthorp E. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
59', Dalou A. ↓, Webber J. ↑,
61', Siaha A. 🟨,
73', Damm O. ↓, St.Clair H. ↑,
85', Calheira T. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
85', Marcos Serrato ↓, Lukic S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Hartford has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tulsa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 2.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 2.5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
09.08.25	Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic	1:4 ✺
06.08.25	Hartford Athletic - Miami	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United	4:0 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	2:3 penalties ✺
USL Championship
19.07.25	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWWT
- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
09.08.25	Tulsa - New Mexico United	5:2 ✺
06.08.25	Monterey Bay - Tulsa	2:3 ✺
01.08.25	Tulsa - Loudoun United	3:2 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	Indy Eleven - Tulsa	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
19.07.25	Louisville City - Tulsa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
19.10.24	Tulsa - Hartford Athletic	1:2
13.10.23	Hartford Athletic - Tulsa	2:5
15.07.23	Tulsa - Hartford Athletic	3:2
10.09.22	Hartford Athletic - Tulsa	3:2
24.08.22	Tulsa - Hartford Athletic	1:2

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