The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 26.2%
Draw 25.5%
Aurora 48.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.7%
25.6%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
25.7%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Antonio Bulo Bulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Antonio Bulo Bulo's form might have worsened.
Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aurora's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio Bulo Bulo than the current prediction. (+17.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Antonio Bulo Bulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-17.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aurora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Aurora Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Giossa L. (G) 44. Ricaldez C. 15. Machado C. 29. Padilha Hallysson 4. Rodriguez F. 32. Campos A. 45. Villamil S. 11. Preciado C. 10. Terrazas A. (C) 19. De Lima M. 18. Menacho R.
12. Cordano R. (G) 16. Barro L. 3. Barboza L. (C) 22. Velazquez J. 70. Torrico J. 23. Huayhuata I. 7. Vaca H. 8. Viviani L. 19. Sanchez E. 10. Ramallo R. 9. Rangel M.
Substitutes
21. Ballivian R. 31. Bustos R. 17. Guerra S. 12. Guzman L. 40. Joao Pedro 33. Magallanes J. 13. Medina A. 8. Merida K. 16. Rodriguez I. 20. Vargas R. 30. Villamil J.
32. Altamirano S. 15. Cordova J. 11. Mojica H. 21. Ortiz M. 20. Pacheco A. 93. Pierola J. 25. Rios A. 14. Sanchez H. 69. Terrazas A. 1. Terrazas J. (G) 4. Vidaurre I. 26. Villca D.
Coaches
Bolivia
Diaz D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
15', Machado C. 🟨,
21', Ramallo R. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Viviani L. ⚽, Rangel M. (A),
35', Preciado C. 🟥,
43', 0 - 2, Rangel M. ⚽, Torrico J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Campos A. ↓, Ballivian R. ↑,
46', De Lima M. ↓, Merida K. ↑,
46', Barboza L. ↓, Vidaurre I. ↑,
55', Padilha Hallysson 🟨,
59', Menacho R. ↓, Vargas R. ↑,
62', Huayhuata I. ↓, Sanchez H. ↑,
62', Vaca H. ↓, Terrazas A. ↑,
79', Barro L. ↓, Altamirano S. ↑,
79', Rangel M. ↓, Pierola J. ↑,
79', Merida K. ↓, Magallanes J. ↑,
82', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
85', Terrazas A. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SA Bulo Bulo won 0.
SA Bulo Bulo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Aurora is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, SA Bulo Bulo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, SA Bulo Bulo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.6:1.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Aurora
20
7
9
4
31:27
4
30
12
SA Bulo Bulo
21
6
3
12
21:40
-19
21
Last Results with these Odds
San Antonio Bulo Bulo - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 43.73%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Aurora - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 30.67%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.