Match Info

COSTA RICA: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 7

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Allen Riggioni Suárez (Grecia)

Referee: Gomez D. (Cos)


	Municipal Grecia		Alajuelense

	1	X	2
	6	4.33	1.45
	5.75	4.1	1.44
	6	4.33	1.47	Watch
	5.6	3.9	1.46
	6.73	4.42	1.48
	6.5	4.2	1.4
	6.42	4.25	1.45	Watch
	6	4.2	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.13 ↓ (6.5)	4.22 ↓ (4.5)	1.45 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Grecia
15%

Draw
21.8%

Alajuelense
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

20%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

19.9%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Grecia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Grecia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Municipal Grecia - Alajuelense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Grecia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Alajuelense will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Sanchez L. (G) 22. Aguero J. 4. Noya R. (C) 5. Gutierrez K. 3. Martinez P. 24. Rodriguez R. 32. Castro S. 29. Ramirez E. 77. Roman S. 30. Albin J. 7. Clunie G.	23. Moreira L. (G) 16. Lopez Y. 3. James M. 5. Borges C. (C) 13. Gamboa A. 24. Zuniga S. 31. Barrantes M. 7. Hernandez A. 17. Mora C. 11. Campos D. 33. Lesme F.
Substitutes
10. Cole K. 70. Rivera Stuart J. 25. Sanchez J. 6. Ugalde J. 23. Vega J. (G) 27. Villalobos A. 19. Wright S.	12. Campbell J. 18. Cedeno E. 27. Lawrence I. 2. Martinez C. 1. Mora B. (G) 28. Navarro J. 10. Suarez A.
Coaches
Manrique I. J.	Carevic A.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grecia won 0.

Grecia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alajuelense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grecia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alajuelense is certain favorite.

Last 27 head-to-head matches Grecia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 21 matches and goals 23-64.

Including matches at home between the teams Grecia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15-26.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Municipal Grecia
Costa Rican Primera Division
01.02.24	Deportivo Saprissa - Municipal Grecia	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Municipal Grecia - Herediano	0:1 ✺
23.01.24	Cartagines - Municipal Grecia	2:0 ✺
20.01.24	Puntarenas FC - Municipal Grecia	0:0 ✺
17.01.24	Municipal Grecia - Sporting San José	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLTT
- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
08.02.24	Alajuelense - Puntarenas FC	3:2 ✺
28.01.24	Alajuelense - Cartagines	0:1 ✺
25.01.24	San Carlos - Alajuelense	2:3 ✺
20.01.24	Alajuelense - Municipal Liberia	0:0 ✺
17.01.24	Puntarenas FC - Alajuelense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
08.11.23	Alajuelense - Municipal Grecia	2:0
10.09.23	Municipal Grecia - Alajuelense	1:2
19.04.23	Municipal Grecia - Alajuelense	0:0
17.02.23	Alajuelense - Municipal Grecia	5:0
Costa Rican Copa
04.12.22	Alajuelense - Municipal Grecia	5:0
30.11.22	Municipal Grecia - Alajuelense	2:1
Costa Rican Primera Division
01.10.22	Alajuelense - Municipal Grecia	4:3

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