The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Carlos 28.6%
Draw 30.2%
Cartagines 41.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
35.9%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
35.2%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Cartagines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cartagines's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Carlos than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagines, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
San Carlos - Cartagines Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Cartagines will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Vega J. (G) 24. Rivera Stuart J. 4. Fonseca P. 22. Aguero J. 17. Evans J. 8. Hernandez E. 10. Cerdas K. 11. Cordoba R. (C) 20. Agualimpia C. 21. Venegas J. 9. Martinez B.
1. Briceno K. (C) 12. Quiros J. 4. Olivas Salcedo L. A. 21. Cortes J. 19. Gonzalez Hernandez D. 15. Flores L. 38. Brenes E. 39. Villalobos M. 7. Moran M. 26. Alfaro B. 22. Hernandez A.
Substitutes
30. Aguero P. 18. Aguilar J. 16. Castillo Cespedes G. 7. Guevara A. 5. Martinez C. 27. Masis D. 41. Pilarte J. 2. Valverde J. 77. Vega J. (G) 88. Vidal R.
11. Alfaro L. 18. Barahona C. 2. Cordero R. 8. Lopez D. 20. Mesen D. 6. Montero C. 30. Mora A. 31. Morera G. M. 33. Moya C. (G) 9. Tepa
Coaches
Centeno W.
Villatoro A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Rivera Stuart J. ⚽,
45', Hernandez E. 🟨,
45+1', Moran M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gonzalez Hernandez D. ↓, Barahona C. ↑,
46', Villalobos M. ↓, Tepa ↑,
60', Hernandez E. ↓, Pilarte J. ↑,
60', Cordoba R. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
60', Rivera Stuart J. ↓, Castillo Cespedes G. ↑,
62', Cortes J. 🟨,
66', Cortes J. ↓, Montero C. ↑,
66', Alfaro B. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
74', Cerdas K. 🟨,
74', Fonseca P. ↓, Valverde J. ↑,
79', Brenes E. ↓, Mora A. ↑,
79', Martinez B. ↓, Vidal R. ↑,
90+3', Briceno K. 🟥,
90+5', Hernandez A. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 5th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ PlayoffsSemi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Carlos won 0.
San Carlos is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Cartagines is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Cartagines may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, San Carlos has recorded 2 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:40 (averaging 1.3:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Carlos against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 11:14 goals (averaging 1.1:1.4 per game).
Costa-rica
Mexico
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Vega J. (G) 
Fonseca P. 
Agualimpia C. 
Martinez B. 
Moran M. 
Hernandez A. 
Martinez C. 
Villatoro A. 
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