Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	San Cristóbal		Tona

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.05	2.38
	2.65	3.05	2.26
	2.7	2.88	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.61)	2.99 ↓ (3)	2.38 ↓ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 11.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Cristóbal
33%

Draw
29.7%

Tona
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29.6%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

30%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Cristóbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Tona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Cristóbal than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tona than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Cristóbal won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

San Cristóbal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Cristóbal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, San Cristóbal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	San Cristobal CP	4	1	1	2	4:8	-4	4
17	UE Tona	5	1	0	4	4:9	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP San Cristóbal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
16.04.26	LEscala - San Cristóbal	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Lleida - San Cristóbal	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	San Cristóbal - Vilanova	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	San Cristóbal - Vilassar de Mar	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Mollerussa - San Cristóbal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTTTW
- UE Tona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.04.26	Tona - Cornellà	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Badalona - Tona	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Tona - Montañesa	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Tona	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Tona - Peralada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
14.12.25	Tona - San Cristóbal	0:0
18.04.25	San Cristóbal - Tona	0:4
06.12.24	Tona - San Cristóbal	1:0
17.03.24	Tona - San Cristóbal	1:2
29.10.23	San Cristóbal - Tona	1:3
16.04.23	San Cristóbal - Tona	1:0
11.12.22	Tona - San Cristóbal	0:1

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