Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 18

Date: 10 December 2022, Saturday


	San Donato Tavarnelle		Imolese

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	1.98	2.9	3.8
	2.14	2.8	3.35
	2.18	2.8	3.62
	2.1	2.88	3.5
	2.15	3.02	3.36	Watch
	2.22	3.1	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.18)	2.92 ↑ (2.81)	3.4 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Donato Tavarnelle
42.4%

Draw
31%

Imolese
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

31.8%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

26.3%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Donato Tavarnelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Imolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Donato Tavarnelle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Imolese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	62.5%	25%

San Donato Tavarnelle - Imolese Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. San Donato will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Imolese will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Recent matches San Donato is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Imolese has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

San Donato will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Donato Tavarnelle
Italian Serie C Group B
03.12.22	Cesena - San Donato Tavarnelle	3:2 ✺
29.11.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Montevarchi	3:1 ✺
26.11.22	Gubbio - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Olbia - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLTT
- Imolese Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
03.12.22	Imolese - Vis Pesaro	0:0 ✺
29.11.22	Rimini - Imolese	3:1 ✺
26.11.22	Imolese - Pontedera	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Imolese - Montevarchi	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Ancona - Imolese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

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