Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 19Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday
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San Donato Tavarnelle |
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Montevarchi |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.28 |
2.98 |
3 |
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 |
2.39 |
2.99 |
2.93 |
 Watch |
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2.3 |
2.75 |
3 |
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 |
2.34 |
2.93 |
3.01 |
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2.42 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.32) |
2.91 ↓
(3.4) |
2.97 ↑
(2.58) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
San Donato Tavarnelle
38.5% | Draw
31% | Montevarchi
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Donato Tavarnelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Montevarchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (+4.1%)San Donato Tavarnelle - Montevarchi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Donato won 4.San Donato is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).Montevarchi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Montevarchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Donato won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.9:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, San Donato won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | San Donato | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Montevarchi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
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Last Results with these Odds
San Donato Tavarnelle - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.74%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group E | | | 27.04.25 | Montevarchi - San Donato Tavarnelle | 0:0 | | 15.12.24 | San Donato Tavarnelle - Montevarchi | 2:0 | | 03.12.23 | San Donato Tavarnelle - Montevarchi | 3:1 | | Italian Serie C Group B | | | 01.04.23 | Montevarchi - San Donato Tavarnelle | 1:3 | | 29.11.22 | San Donato Tavarnelle - Montevarchi | 3:1 | | Italian Serie D - Group E | | | 21.03.21 | San Donato Tavarnelle - Montevarchi | 1:1 | | 27.01.21 | Montevarchi - San Donato Tavarnelle | 1:2 |
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