Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 15

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pietro Barbetti (Gubbio)


	Gubbio		San Donato Tavarnelle

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.3	4.6
	1.65	3.3	4.6
	1.69	3.2	4.6
	1.68	3.37	4.97
	1.67	3.2	5
	1.63	3.5	5.15	Watch
	1.7	3.35	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.53)	3.32 ↓ (3.4)	4.8 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
54%

Draw
27.2%

San Donato Tavarnelle
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

26.4%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

24.8%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

San Donato Tavarnelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Gubbio - San Donato Tavarnelle Predictions

Users Predictions: Gubbio will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Gubbio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Donato is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gubbio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Gubbio have a series of guest games.

In this match Gubbio is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
20.11.22	Lucchese - Gubbio	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.11.22	Padova - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
13.11.22	Gubbio - Recanatese	1:3 ✺
05.11.22	Cesena - Gubbio	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.22	Pescara - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLLW
- San Donato Tavarnelle
Italian Serie C Group B
20.11.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Olbia - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:2 ✺
05.11.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Ancona	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Siena - San Donato Tavarnelle	3:0 ✺
23.10.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Pontedera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.07.22	Gubbio - San Donato Tavarnelle	3:0

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