Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 14

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday


	San Donato Tavarnelle		Virtus Entella

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.05
	3.5	2.95	2.04
	3.25	2.95	2.08
	3.85	3.04	1.99
	3.5	3	2.05
	3.7	3.22	1.95	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.65)	3.05 ↑ (2.98)	2.04 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Donato Tavarnelle
26%

Draw
29.6%

Virtus Entella
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

29.8%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

28.4%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Donato Tavarnelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	6.7%	93.3%

San Donato Tavarnelle - Virtus Entella Predictions

Users Predictions: Virtus Entella will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

San Donato is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Virtus Entella is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Virtus Entella could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Virtus Entella have a series of home games.

Virtus Entella will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Donato Tavarnelle
Italian Serie C Group B
13.11.22	Olbia - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:2 ✺
05.11.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Ancona	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Siena - San Donato Tavarnelle	3:0 ✺
23.10.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Pontedera	1:2 ✺
19.10.22	Fermana - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTLLT
- Virtus Entella
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.11.22	Virtus Entella - Lucchese	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
14.11.22	Virtus Entella - Cesena	0:0 ✺
05.11.22	Virtus Entella - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.11.22	Virtus Entella - Montevarchi	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
29.10.22	Fiorenzuola - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTWW

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