Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 17

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena)


	Cesena		San Donato Tavarnelle

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	4.4
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.77	3.05	4.2
	1.76	3.03	4.15
	1.75	3.1	4.6
	1.79	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.5)	3.15 ↓ (3.49)	4.28 ↓ (6.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
50.6%

Draw
28.5%

San Donato Tavarnelle
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

25.7%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

24.8%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cesena's form might have worsened.

San Donato Tavarnelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Donato Tavarnelle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cesena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Donato Tavarnelle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Cesena - San Donato Tavarnelle Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). San Donato will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cesena: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Cesena is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.22	Lucchese - Cesena	1:0 ✺
26.11.22	Olbia - Cesena	0:1 ✺
20.11.22	Cesena - Ancona	0:1 ✺
14.11.22	Virtus Entella - Cesena	0:0 ✺
05.11.22	Cesena - Gubbio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLTW
- San Donato Tavarnelle
Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Montevarchi	3:1 ✺
26.11.22	Gubbio - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Olbia - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:2 ✺
05.11.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Ancona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLTTT

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