Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 16

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	San Fernando		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.4	4.5
	1.7	3.3	4.4
	1.7	3.4	5
	1.79	3.5	5.35
	1.71	3.5	5.35
	1.68	3.45	5.1
	1.71	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.92)	3.42 ↑ (3.05)	4.89 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
54.1%

Draw
27%

Atlético Baleares
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

29.4%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

30.2%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Fernando's performance.

Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Fernando that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

San Fernando - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Lillo 5. Blanco C. 23. Ramirez J. 15. Ruiz V. 12. Selma D. 10. Ramos D. 6. Molina D. 21. Arroyo N. 11. Aquino D. 9. Ribeiro	1. Vila R. (G) 14. Navarro D. (C) 22. Ofoli F. 15. Juanra 3. Fornies 11. Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 8. Ramon A. 10. Pastrana V. 21. Nana 17. Alarcon R. 16. Rodriguez D.
Substitutes
13. Arana E. (G) 25. Davila Y. 20. Estacio X. 4. Farrando M. 14. Fullana F. 26. Herrera M. 32. Iago Souza 16. Leon C. 19. Martinez P. 18. Naveira U. 3. Ruiz L. 17. Sanchez A.	12. Gonzalez R. 9. Jimenez Xisco 2. Loren 30. Ortega D. 29. Piera J. 33. Rivas 20. Sanchez O. 4. Sierra J. 6. Villapalos A.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Atlético Baleares could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match San Fernando is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.12.23	Real Madrid Castilla - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	San Fernando - Melilla	4:1 ✺
18.11.23	Mérida AD - San Fernando	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	San Fernando - Antequera	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Recreativo Huelva - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLL
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.12.23	Atlético Baleares - Alcoyano	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Granada B - Atlético Baleares	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Castellón - Atlético Baleares	4:2 ✺
12.11.23	Atlético Baleares - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Baleares	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.05.22	San Fernando - Atlético Baleares	0:4
09.02.22	Atlético Baleares - San Fernando	1:1

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