Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	San Fernando		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	5	2.88	1.83
	4.4	3.1	1.75
	4.5	3	1.8
	4.4	3.1	1.78
	4.86	3.06	1.88
	4.9	2.97	1.87
	4.5	3.15	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↑ (3.44)	3.04 ↑ (2.8)	1.81 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
19.6%

Draw
30%

Deportivo A Coruña
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

32.8%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

31.9%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Fernando's form might have worsened.

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo A Coruña's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Fernando, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo A Coruña, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Fernando - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Deportivo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently San Fernando have a series of guest games.

In this match Deportivo is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.01.23	Mérida AD - San Fernando	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Rayo Majadahonda - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	San Fernando - Córdoba	1:3 ✺
17.12.22	Talavera de la Reina - San Fernando	0:0 ✺
10.12.22	San Fernando - Algeciras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLTL
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.01.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
14.01.23	Alcorcón - Deportivo A Coruña	3:1 ✺
08.01.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:0 ✺
18.12.22	Ceuta - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Deportivo A Coruña - Ferrol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.10.22	Deportivo A Coruña - San Fernando	0:1

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