Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 17

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Prado (Talavera de la Reina)


	Talavera de la Reina		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.15	3	3
	2.3	3	3
	2.17	3.1	3.1
	2.21	3.26	3.28
	2.2	2.9	3.3
	2.19	3.06	3.22
	2.2	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.16)	3.08 ↑ (2.91)	3.14 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
41.4%

Draw
29.6%

San Fernando
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30.9%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

30.5%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Talavera de la Reina - San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Talavera is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Talavera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Talavera won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Talavera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.12.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
07.12.22	Talavera de la Reina - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Talavera de la Reina	0:2 ✺
27.11.22	Talavera de la Reina - Linense	0:0 ✺
19.11.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.6 TWWTW
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.12.22	San Fernando - Algeciras	0:2 ✺
07.12.22	Leonesa - San Fernando	2:0 ✺
04.12.22	San Fernando - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	San Fernando - Celta de Vigo B	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Real Madrid Castilla - San Fernando	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.11.19	San Fernando - Talavera de la Reina	1:0
31.03.19	San Fernando - Talavera de la Reina	1:2
11.11.18	Talavera de la Reina - San Fernando	0:0

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