Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Virtus		Domagnano

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.35	9.4	Watch
	1.2	5.77	8.91
	1.27	5.56	8.41	Watch
	1.25	5	8.5
	1.25	6.35	9.23
	1.23	5.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.33)	5.56 ↑ (5.1)	8.66 ↑ (7.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus
73.2%

Draw
16.3%

Domagnano
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

18%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

17.1%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Domagnano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Domagnano than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Virtus - Domagnano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Zenoni M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Amati M. ⚽, Santi S. (A),
84', 2 - 1, Zenoni M. ⚽, Scappini S. (A),
89', Guglielmi F. 🟥,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus won 3.

Virtus is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Domagnano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Domagnano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Virtus is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Virtus won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Virtus	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10
6	Domagnano	4	2	0	2	7:6	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Virtus
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
06.05.26	Juvenes-Dogana - Virtus	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Virtus - Juvenes-Dogana	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	AC Libertas - Virtus	0:9 ✺
19.04.26	Cailungo - Virtus	6:0 ✺
12.04.26	Virtus - Murata	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTWLW
- FC Domagnano
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
05.05.26	Folgore - Domagnano	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Domagnano - Folgore	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Domagnano - Folgore	3:7 ✺
18.04.26	San Giovanni - Domagnano	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Domagnano - La Fiorita	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
22.03.26	Virtus - Domagnano	3:2
29.11.25	Domagnano - Virtus	1:0
21.01.25	Virtus - Domagnano	3:0
14.09.24	Domagnano - Virtus	1:2
24.02.24	Virtus - Domagnano	0:0
San Marino Coppa Titano
08.11.23	Virtus - Domagnano	2:1
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
04.11.23	Domagnano - Virtus	0:1

Virtus - Domagnano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide