Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 7

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Cailungo		San Giovanni

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.5	1.8
	3.53	3.50	1.91	Watch
	3.58	3.52	1.87
	3.5	3.6	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.27)	3.53 ↓ (4)	1.85 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cailungo
25.4%

Draw
25.7%

San Giovanni
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

22.6%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

21.9%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cailungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

San Giovanni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cailungo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Cailungo - San Giovanni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Michelucci R. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, D'Angeli E. ⚽, Boldrini F. (A),
25', 1 - 2, D'Angeli E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 1 - 3, Tumidei F. ⚽, Tiraferri L. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 0.

Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.

Cailungo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, San Giovanni is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:22. (average 0.4:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cailungo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.3:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Cailungo
San Marino Coppa Titano
21.10.25	AC Libertas - Cailungo	2:1 penalties ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.10.25	La Fiorita - Cailungo	3:0 ✺
03.10.25	Cailungo - Faetano	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Cailungo - Juvenes-Dogana	0:2 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
23.09.25	Cailungo - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- SS San Giovanni
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.10.25	Pennarossa - San Giovanni	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	San Giovanni - Cosmos	0:3 ✺
27.09.25	AC Libertas - San Giovanni	1:0 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
23.09.25	San Giovanni - Cosmos	0:2 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
20.09.25	San Giovanni - Fiorentino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
22.02.25	Cailungo - San Giovanni	0:3
27.10.24	San Giovanni - Cailungo	5:1
17.03.24	Cailungo - San Giovanni	0:4
09.12.23	San Giovanni - Cailungo	5:0
11.02.23	San Giovanni - Cailungo	1:1
02.10.22	Cailungo - San Giovanni	0:3
15.02.22	Cailungo - San Giovanni	1:1

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