The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Ignacio 53%
Draw 28.4%
Pasaia 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.4%
28.6%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
27.8%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Ignacio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Pasaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
San Ignacio - Pasaia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 0 - 1, ⚽,
78', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Ignacio won 2.
San Ignacio has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Pasaia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Pasaia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, San Ignacio is a strong favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Ignacio won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, San Ignacio won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).
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