The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leioa 71.1%
Draw 19%
Zarautz KE 9.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.7%
21.8%
11.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.6%
20.6%
10.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Zarautz KE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zarautz KE than the current prediction. (+1%)
Leioa - Zarautz KE Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, ⚽,
32', 3 - 0, ⚽,
39', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Leioa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Zarautz has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Leioa is the clear favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leioa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.