Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Portugalete		San Ignacio

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.95	6.9
	1.38	4.41	7.48
	1.41	4.36	6.75
	1.39	4.1	7.21
	1.41	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.47)	4.16 ↑ (3.82)	7.07 ↑ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugalete
65.2%

Draw
21.9%

San Ignacio
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

23.9%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

23.1%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

San Ignacio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Portugalete - San Ignacio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Arana I. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 1, Crespo G. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 4.

Portugalete is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

San Ignacio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Portugalete is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Portugalete will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Portugalete won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	San Ignacio	5	1	2	2	8:7	1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Portugalete - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 62.13%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
24.01.26	Derio - Portugalete	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Portugalete - Touring KE	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Portugalete - Alavés C	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Portugalete	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Portugalete - Leioa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWL
- Club San Ignacio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
24.01.26	Zarautz KE - San Ignacio	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	San Ignacio - Derio	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	San Ignacio - Touring KE	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Alavés C - San Ignacio	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	San Ignacio - Aurrerá de Vitoria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
21.09.25	San Ignacio - Portugalete	1:1
02.02.25	San Ignacio - Portugalete	0:3
17.03.24	Portugalete - San Ignacio	2:1
29.10.23	San Ignacio - Portugalete	0:3
06.04.23	San Ignacio - Portugalete	0:3
11.12.22	Portugalete - San Ignacio	1:1
29.01.22	Portugalete - San Ignacio	3:0

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