Match Info

USA: US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: PayPal Park (San Jose, CA)


	San Jose Earthquakes		Oakland Roots

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.75	9.5	Watch
	1.28	5	7.75	Watch
	1.25	5.5	9.5
	1.32	4.86	11.46
	1.32	4.43	11.46
	1.18	5.5	10
	1.32	4.86	9.71	Watch
	1.26	5.4	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.38)	5.04 ↑ (4.38)	9.92 ↑ (6.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Jose Earthquakes
72.3%

Draw
18.3%

Oakland Roots
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

20.6%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

20.2%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.

Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

San Jose Earthquakes - Oakland Roots Predictions

Users Predictions: San Jose Earthquakes will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Ochoa E. (G) 2. Ricketts J. 24. Munie D. 15. Beason T. (C) 3. Marie P. 16. Skahan J. 6. Morales A. 30. Tsakiris N. 23. Lopez H. 19. Judd P. 28. Kikanovic B.	20. Blanchette P. (G) 21. Tamacas B. 3. Logue N. 14. Rasmussen J. 4. Margvelashvili G. 6. Gomez D. 15. Hackshaw N. 8. Donasiyano I. 23. Diaz M. 22. Cedeno J. 17. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
55. Baldisimo M. 17. Bouda O. 10. Espinoza C. 98. Jackson J. (G) 22. Thompson T. 77. Walls C. 14. Yueill J.	40. Alekseev I. 27. Chery M. 38. Cruz E. 7. Matsoso N. 10. Mfeka L. 5. Riley C. 60. Syrel T. (G)
Coaches
Gonzalez L.	Glinton G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Rasmussen J. 🟨,
24', Hackshaw N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lopez H. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
51', Bouda O. 🟨,
55', Ricketts J. ↓, Thompson T. ↑,
56', Morales A. ↓, Yueill J. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Bouda O. ⚽, Tsakiris N. (A),
78', Cedeno J. ↓, Mfeka L. ↑,
79', Hackshaw N. ↓, Matsoso N. ↑,
82', Rodriguez J. 🟥,
84', Judd P. 🟨,
85', Gomez D. ↓, Riley C. ↑,
85', Donasiyano I. ↓, Chery M. ↑,
90+5', Rasmussen J. ↓, Cruz E. ↑,
90+5', Skahan J. ↓, Baldisimo M. ↑,

Preview

San Jose is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Oakland Roots is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match San Jose is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Jose Earthquakes
MLS
04.05.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Nashville SC - San Jose Earthquakes	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes	4:3 ✺
13.04.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Colorado Rapids	0:3 ✺
06.04.24	Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLLL
- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
04.05.24	San Antonio - Oakland Roots	2:2 ✺
27.04.24	Oakland Roots - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Detroit City - Oakland Roots	3:1 ✺
US Open Cup
16.04.24	Oakland Roots - El Farolito	2:1 ET ✺
USL Championship
13.04.24	El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLLWW

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