Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Geodis Park (Nashville, TN)

Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)


	Nashville SC		San Jose Earthquakes

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.8
	1.92	3.75	4	Watch
	1.93	3.7	4.21
	1.91	3.65	4.21
	1.91	3.6	3.7
	1.89	3.78	3.89	Watch
	1.9	3.55	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.89)	3.64 ↑ (3.53)	4 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nashville SC
50%

Draw
26.2%

San Jose Earthquakes
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

22.9%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The chances for San Jose Earthquakes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nashville SC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Nashville SC - San Jose Earthquakes Predictions

Users Predictions: Nashville SC will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Willis J. (G) 19. Muyl A. 5. Maher J. 44. Kallman B. 2. Lovitz D. 14. Shaffelburg J. 16. Yearwood D. 20. Godoy A. 54. Davis S. 10. Mukhtar H. (C) 9. Surridge S.	25. Yarbrough W. (G) 29. Akapo C. 26. Rodrigues 15. Beason T. 94. Vitor Costa 14. Yueill J. (C) 7. Gruezo C. 30. Tsakiris N. 10. Espinoza C. 11. Ebobisse J. 28. Kikanovic B.
Substitutes
27. Anunga T. 22. Bauer J. 11. Boyd T. 12. Bunbury T. 67. Martino B. (G) 30. Panicco E. (G) 6. Sejdic A. 23. Washinghton T. 25. Zimmerman W.	55. Baldisimo M. 17. Bouda O. 19. Judd P. 3. Marie P. 24. Munie D. 41. Ochoa E. (G) 9. Pellegrino A. 2. Ricketts J. 16. Skahan J.
Coaches
Smith G.	Gonzalez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Lovitz D. 🟨,
14', Tsakiris N. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Mukhtar H. ⚽, Muyl A. (A),
40', Kikanovic B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kikanovic B. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
46', Tsakiris N. ↓, Skahan J. ↑,
51', Akapo C. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Skahan J. ⚽, Rodrigues (A),
64', Ebobisse J. ↓, Judd P. ↑,
73', Lovitz D. ↓, Washinghton T. ↑,
73', Davis S. ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
77', Kallman B. ↓, Zimmerman W. ↑,
77', Yearwood D. ↓, Boyd T. ↑,
87', Rodrigues ↓, Munie D. ↑,
87', Surridge S. ↓, Bunbury T. ↑,
89', Espinoza C. ↓, Marie P. ↑,
90', Vitor Costa 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 14).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

San Jose could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nashville will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Nashville: Zimmerman W. (Injury)

There are questionable in Nashville: Moore S. (Injury)

There are questionable in San Jose: Marcinkowski J. (Knee Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nashville won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Nashville won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nashville SC
MLS
20.04.24	Inter Miami - Nashville SC	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Nashville SC - Columbus Crew	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Los Angeles - Nashville SC	5:0 ✺
16.03.24	Nashville SC - Charlotte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTLW
- San Jose Earthquakes
MLS
21.04.24	Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes	4:3 ✺
13.04.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Colorado Rapids	0:3 ✺
06.04.24	Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes	4:3 ✺
30.03.24	Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
23.09.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Nashville SC	1:1
11.06.22	Nashville SC - San Jose Earthquakes	0:0
16.04.22	San Jose Earthquakes - Nashville SC	2:2

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